Friday, September 18, 2026
thebrix Times
Markets & the Economy

Markets & the Economy Global equities at Thursday's close · Gulf bourses Thursday

The Board · Fashion & luxury equities we track

CompanyTickerCcy Close1 day1 weekYTD Mkt cap (bn)Fwd P/EYield 52-wk high52-wk low
LVMH MC · Paris EUR 412.30 +0.33% +1.05% −36.08% 203.3 17.3 3.15 654.70 403.15
Hermès RMS · Paris EUR 1,375.00 −0.58% −2.41% −35.20% 144.0 29.1 1.31 2,300.0 1,358.5
Kering KER · Paris EUR 238.00* 0.00% +1.60% −21.00% 29.4 29.2 1.26 354.20 225.10
Prada 1913 · HK HKD 39.02 0.00% +1.19% −13.29% 99.8 14.2 3.85 52.00 34.52
Richemont CFR · SIX CHF 171.55 +0.47% −1.08% +1.22% 100.5 25.6 1.80 202.20 127.20
Burberry BRBY · LSE GBp 1,013.5 +0.45% −1.60% −20.13% 3.63 (£) 28.8 1,376.5 953.4
Moncler MONC · Milan EUR 43.99 +0.55% +0.23% −19.61% 11.96 18.4 3.18 59.40 42.94
Ralph Lauren RL · NYSE USD 333.08 −1.56% −2.21% −5.81% 20.3 17.3 1.12 421.60 299.98
Tapestry TPR · NYSE USD 116.04 −1.61% −1.41% −9.18% 23.4 14.8 1.43 164.80 93.00
Capri Holdings CPRI · NYSE USD 14.96 +1.53% +14.16% −38.71% 1.72 7.9 28.27 12.40
H&M HM-B · Stockholm SEK 164.30 −0.09% −0.18% −11.24% 262.3 20.9 4.23 194.30 151.30
Inditex ITX · Madrid EUR 52.40 −0.72% −4.34% −6.99% 163.3 25.7 3.27 59.42 44.34
Gap GAP · NYSE USD 20.87 +3.47% −2.20% −18.48% 7.51 8.2 3.26 29.36 18.11
Fast Retailing 9983 · Tokyo JPY 67,700 0.00% +1.30% +18.40% 20,770 36.4 0.94 88,690 44,380
Next NXT · LSE GBp 14,920 +2.47% −0.07% +9.06% 17.0 (£) 19.2 1.7† 16,175 11,200

Close, 1-day, 1-week, YTD, market cap and 52-week range: Bigdata.com company tearsheets (FMP data), pulled 08:23 Doha 18 Sep; forward P/E from stockanalysis.com (±1 turn for non-U.S. listings whose reference prices were stale). *Kering: Thursday's Paris close was not retrievable; Wednesday's €238.00 shown, with the week and year computed from it — unverified. Prada's and Fast Retailing's one-day moves are unverified (quote timestamps were Friday intraday). Richemont's week reflects Wednesday's CHF 4.30 ex-dividend; yield shown is the ordinary rate (2.51% including the special). †Next's ordinary yield; 4.21% including January's 360p special. Burberry's dividend remains suspended. Market cap in local currency billions (£ where marked).

Macro & Gulf board

IndicatorLevelChangeAs of
Qatar QE Index9,659+0.2%Thu 17 Sep · wk -1.7%
Dubai DFM General5,987+0.3%Thu 17 Sep
Abu Dhabi ADX General10,161+0.5%Thu 17 Sep
Saudi Tadawul TASI10,778flatThu 17 Sep
S&P 5007,637.76+1.14%Thu 17 Sep
Euro Stoxx 506,316.70+0.06%Thu 17 Sep
Brent crude, $/bbl103.73-1.0%Fri 08:20 Doha · Mon high >$109
Gold, $/oz4,407.20+0.2%Fri 08:20 Doha
EUR/USD1.15+0.03%Fri (2 d.p.)
GBP/USD1.34+0.05%Fri (2 d.p.)
USD/QAR3.64peg
US 10-yr Treasury4.94%-7bpThu 17 Sep · topped 5% Mon
Fed funds target3.75–4.00%+25bp, 12–0Wed 16 Sep
QCB deposit / lending / repo4.10 / 4.60 / 4.35%+25bp eacheffective Thu 17 Sep

Sources: Reuters via Business Recorder (Gulf indices), 17 Sep · Federal Reserve, 16 Sep · The Peninsula (QCB), 16 Sep · Fortune (Brent), 17 Sep

Economy · Qatar

IndicatorLatestPeriod
QCB rates (deposit / lending / repo)4.10 / 4.60 / 4.35% (+25bp)eff. 17 Sep
Real GDP-7.0% y/y; non-hydrocarbon +3.5%Q1 2026
PMI (50 = no change)47.6 — only GCC economy contracting (S&P roundup)Aug 2026
CPI inflation2.21% y/y (July and August not yet published)Jun 2026
Budget balance-QAR 21.2bn (H1 -31.5bn)Q2 2026
LNGforce majeure to early Nov; U.S. supply sought to 2031Reuters, 11 Sep
Real-estate (MoJ)sales QAR 354.5m (-32% y/y); with mortgages QAR 469.7mwk 6–12 Sep
Qatar Airways traffic90–95% of last year; HIA 140,000+ pax/dayCEO, 11 Sep

Sources: The Peninsula, 16 Sep · NPC via Qatar Tribune, 31 Aug · S&P Global via GDN, 17 Sep · NPC via Trading Economics · MoF via Qatar Tribune, 8 Sep · MoJ via The Peninsula, 14 Sep · Euronews, 11 Sep

Economy · Region & rates

IndicatorLatestPeriod
Fed funds target3.75–4.00% (+25bp, 12–0); median 4.1% end-2026/2716 Sep
SAMA repo / reverse repo4.50 / 4.00% (+25bp)eff. 17 Sep
CBUAE base rate3.90% (+25bp); Bahrain, Oman 4.50%; Kuwait held 3.50%eff. 17 Sep
U.S. PCE / core3.6% / 3.2%Aug 2026
UAE / Saudi PMI55.3 / 53.8 — seven- and six-month highsAug 2026
Saudi POS spend, weekSAR 15.8bn flat; jewellery +25.4%; apparel -9.6%wk to 5 Sep
Saudi crude loadings~2.1 mb/d vs 7.5 in Jan–Feb; Sohar STS ~2.7 mb/dmid-Sep
U.K. CPI3.1% y/yAug 2026

Sources: FOMC transcript, 16 Sep · Arab News, 17 Sep · Zawya, 16 Sep · GDN, 17 Sep · Arab News, 12 Sep · Al Jazeera, 17 Sep · TheIndustry.fashion, 16 Sep

“Inflation is too high and has been too long.”Chair Warsh, Federal Reserve press conference — 16 September

Company Report · From the primary document

Company Report · From the primary document

Next plc, Results for the Half Year 2026/27: Profit Up 10.5%, Guidance Raised Again, and the Middle East Named on the Margin Line

Published Thursday 17 September 2026 for the 26 weeks to 1 August 2026, via RNS and the London Stock Exchange PDF. Figures below are the company's own.

Full-price sales rose 7.7 percent (total sales including markdown +8.9%); group sales including subsidiaries reached £3,540m, up 9.0 percent; profit before tax was £569m, up 10.5 percent; post-tax earnings per share 370.4p, up 12.2 percent. The interim dividend is 98p, payable 4 January 2027. By channel, U.K. full-price sales grew 3.6 percent (online +7.4%, retail stores -1.7%) and international online 23.9 percent; by region, Europe +28 percent, the Middle East +14 percent, the United States +255 percent from a small base. Sales through third-party aggregators rose 23 percent; international marketing spend rose 63 percent to £51m at £1.77 of incremental profit per pound.

Guidance for the year to January 2027 rose to full-price sales of +6.7 percent (about £6.0bn) and profit before tax of £1,255m, up 8.4 percent and £12m above the £1,243m set on 5 August — "a small upgrade in sales expectations and some additional cost savings, mainly in warehousing." The second half is guided to +5.8 percent full-price growth, with U.K. growth moderated "down from +2.8% to +2.0%" and international online to +20.5 percent as the group annualises last year's aggregator step-change. Buybacks of £355m were made in the half against £81m a year earlier; the full-year estimate is £535m.

Demand. Middle East online full-price sales +14 percent in the half; "the conflict in the Middle East" is cited as a first-quarter disruptor before "underlying growth in Q2 bounced back," with "some of this growth in Q2 driven by pent-up demand."

Cost. "Parcel surcharges arising from the Middle East conflict (-1.3%), offset by price increases (+0.5%)" on the international margin bridge.

Stores. Franchise and wholesale profit of £3m "was lower than last year, due to franchise store closures last year and disruption from the Middle East conflict this year."

Consumer. "Rising inflation, higher mortgage interest costs and a weak employment market" are the primary U.K. concerns; the tax burden "seems to us to be at the point where further increases only risk stifling growth."

Sources: Next plc, "Results for the Half Year 2026/27," RNS 17 Sep 2026 (PDF) · Next plc regulatory feed · Reuters via Investing.com, 17 Sep · TheIndustry.fashion, 17 Sep · Next plc, "Results for the Half Year 2026/27," RNS 17 Sep 2026 (PDF) · Next plc regulatory feed . Reaction: Reuters via Investing.com, 17 Sep · TheIndustry.fashion, 17 Sep . Shares closed +2.47% at 14,920p (Bigdata.com).

What the document says about the Middle East

Demand. Middle East online full-price sales +14 percent in the half; "the conflict in the Middle East" is cited as a first-quarter disruptor before "underlying growth in Q2 bounced back," with "some of this growth in Q2 driven by pent-up demand."

Cost. "Parcel surcharges arising from the Middle East conflict (-1.3%), offset by price increases (+0.5%)" on the international margin bridge.

Stores. Franchise and wholesale profit of £3m "was lower than last year, due to franchise store closures last year and disruption from the Middle East conflict this year."

Consumer. "Rising inflation, higher mortgage interest costs and a weak employment market" are the primary U.K. concerns; the tax burden "seems to us to be at the point where further increases only risk stifling growth."

Results & events calendar

  • Thu 24 Sep H&M nine-month report, 09:00 CEST (verified)
  • Fri 25 Sep Ralph Lauren ex-dividend $1.00
  • 28 Sep–3 Oct Doha Jewellery & Watches Exhibition, DECC
  • Wed 30 Sep U.S. core PCE (Aug); EASA Gulf airspace bulletin expires
  • Thu 8 Oct Fast Retailing full-year results and FY27 guidance
  • 13 / 21 / 22 Oct LVMH · Kering, Moncler · Hermès, Prada — third-quarter revenue
  • 3–5 Nov Capri Q2 · Ralph Lauren Q2, Tapestry Q1, Next Q3 trading (5 Nov, verified)
  • 12–13 Nov Burberry H1 · Richemont H1

Sources: H&M Group · Next plc

Tenant health watch · what the week's public news says about major fashion and luxury brands

Brand / groupSignal this weekDirectionImplication for a Gulf landlordSource
NextFourth profit upgrade of the year; Middle East online +14%; franchise profit lower on conflict disruption and store closures▲ StrongOnline demand in the region held; physical franchise economics are the softer line to watchNext RNS, 17 Sep
Louis Vuitton / LVMHDrops out of Europe's ten largest companies; shares 1.5% above 52-week low, -36% YTD▼ CautiousCapital discipline at the group level; expect slower new-door commitments until Q3 revenue on 13 OctBloomberg, 15 Sep
Prada / VersaceChief executive Andrea Guerra rules out an Armani bid to focus on Versace (H1 revenue €305m) and full-price selling■ MixedVersace's Gulf doors are under a full-price mandate; Armani's stake sale keeps a major tenant's ownership in playTheIndustry.fashion, 16 Sep
ArmaniDario Vitale named creative director of Emporio Armani and accessories — the first outside designer to lead a major Armani line■ WatchCreative resets usually bring new store concepts and product; timing coincides with the heirs' planned 15% sale by March 2027TheIndustry.fashion, 16 Sep
Hugo Boss / FrasersFrasers' Michael Murray becomes chairman; Frasers (47.9%) reaffirms intent to pass 50%■ WatchA Frasers-controlled Boss may reshape regional wholesale and franchise arrangementsTheIndustry.fashion, 16 Sep
InditexShares -4.3% on the week after last week's results; sector's weakest weekly move■ MixedOperating performance intact; the market is discounting the Middle East cost line it disclosedBigdata.com
thebrix Times · Markets & the EconomyData: Bigdata.com unless stated · Not investment advice